LOB and Runs Scored

Amazingly, it's very hard to track down team LOB stats. I couldn't find it on either ESPN or Baseball Reference. Fortunately, some USA Today Fantasy Baseball page had it.

Top 10 Teams in LOB:

1. Phillies - 1295

2. Red Sox - 1291

3. Athletics -1258

4. Rockies - 1251

5. Yankees - 1249

6. Indians - 1215

7. Braves - 1205

8. Dodgers - 1200

9. Mets - 1196

10. Marlins - 1192

(Source: http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/al/07team2.htm, http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/nl/07team2.htm)

Top 10 Teams in Runs:

1. Yankees - 968

2. Phillies - 892

3. Tigers - 887

4. Red Sox - 867

5. Rockies - 860

6. Angels - 822

7. Rangers - 816

8. Indians - 811

9. Braves - 810

10. Mets - 804

Source: http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/aggregate?statType=batting&group=9

So 6 of the 10 teams are at the top of both categories. While it's not directly correlative (and only using 1 year is somewhat sloppy data gathering, but I have class in 10 minutes!), there's some sort of relationship between leaving lots on base and scoring lots of runs. It's really just common sense if one thinks about it, I suppose.

Just remember that next time your local broadcaster laments the team's LOB that day.

Amazingly, it's very hard to track down team LOB stats. I couldn't find it on either ESPN or Baseball Reference. Fortunately, some USA Today Fantasy Baseball page had it.

Top 10 Teams in LOB:

1. Phillies - 1295

2. Red Sox - 1291

3. Athletics -1258

4. Rockies - 1251

5. Yankees - 1249

6. Indians - 1215

7. Braves - 1205

8. Dodgers - 1200

9. Mets - 1196

10. Marlins - 1192

(Source: http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/al/07team2.htm, http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/nl/07team2.htm)

Top 10 Teams in Runs:

1. Yankees - 968

2. Phillies - 892

3. Tigers - 887

4. Red Sox - 867

5. Rockies - 860

6. Angels - 822

7. Rangers - 816

8. Indians - 811

9. Braves - 810

10. Mets - 804

Source: http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/aggregate?statType=batting&group=9

So 6 of the 10 teams are at the top of both categories. While it's not directly correlative (and only using 1 year is somewhat sloppy data gathering, but I have class in 10 minutes!), there's some sort of relationship between leaving lots on base and scoring lots of runs. It's really just common sense if one thinks about it, I suppose.

Just remember that next time your local broadcaster laments the team's LOB that day.

## 2 Comments:

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After one particularly awful Red Sox loss (where they left something like 14 men on base), I tried to work something up on this. I tried to come up with some sort of runs per baserunner statistic. Not surprisingly, it didn't really work - at least, it didn't tell me what I was SURE the result would be - that the penchant of the Red Sox for leaving a ton of men on base would certainly lead to a lower baserunner efficiency rating. It wasn't the case.

The correlation between runs and LOB (as opposed to an anticorrelation, which most broadcasters would argue for), isn't really surprising - if you put more men on base, you will score more runs, but will leave more of them on base too.

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